Track Record

Track Record

Every call below was generated by our automated pipeline analyzing publicly available SEC filings. No hindsight. No cherry-picking. Dates are filing analysis dates from our system.

9 flagged. 0 misses.

Flagged Before the Market Moved

KD
Kyndryl Holdings
Score 8.4
Filed May 30, 2025
What We Found

Accounts receivable contraction and receivables stress detected in the periodic filing.

What happened

On February 9, 2026, 255 days later, the company disclosed delayed filings, management changes, and an accounting review over internal control weaknesses. Shares plunged 53% that day.

MRK
Merck
Score 8.75
Filed November 5, 2025
What We Found

Severe divergence between accounts receivable growth and revenue trajectory, with revenue declining 40% while AR grew 18%.

What happened

On February 3, 2026, 90 days later, the company issued 2026 sales and profit guidance below Wall Street expectations citing patent-loss pressure.

GILD
Gilead Sciences
Score 8.75
Filed November 7, 2025
What We Found

Accounts receivable growing 5.14x faster than revenue combined with discretionary accounting adjustments boosting reported earnings.

What happened

On February 10, 2026, 95 days later, the company guided 2026 outlook to the low end of expectations.

BA
Boeing
Score 9.25
Filed January 30, 2026
What We Found

Contract losses and production claims inconsistent with disclosed capability, plus execution weakness across multiple programs.

What happened

Continued production quality concerns and execution deterioration drove sustained stock pressure through Q1 2026.

Identified the Signals the Market Punished

PTON
Peloton
Score 8.75
Filed February 5, 2026
What We Found

Subscription base decay and turnaround narrative tension between management claims and financial trajectory.

What happened

Shares dropped 25% that session after a revenue miss, weak guidance, and CFO departure. Stock declined 28% that month.

NKE
Nike
Score 8.75
Filed April 1, 2026
What We Found

Operating cash flow collapse from $3.2B to $1.2B, DSO jump, and accounts receivable growing 13.8% on 0.1% revenue growth.

What happened

Shares fell 9–15% on the earnings miss, hit multi-year lows, and analyst downgrades followed.

UNH
UnitedHealth Group
Score 9.6
Filed March 2, 2026
What We Found

Medical care ratio deterioration from 85.2% to 89.9%, pricing trailing costs, and the first revenue decline signal in decades.

What happened

The stock continued declining approximately 16% from filing date to 52-week lows as the MCR deterioration our system identified kept compounding. Shares were down more than 46% from the 52-week high.

Validated Against Historical Filings

RIVN
Rivian
Score 9.0
Filed February 12, 2026
What We Found

Inventory growth of 41%, delivery decline, and R2 production claims inconsistent with manufacturing readiness.

What happened

Delivery pressure continued, U.S. sales declined 26% year over year, and the stock fell 24% year to date.

JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
Score 8.15
Filed February 11, 2026
What We Found

Litigation reserve reversal distorting reported earnings quality.

What happened

Talc litigation overhang persisted and legal uncertainty remained unresolved.